Thursday tracking

The Eye is tracking at 72, 35 and 12 — on a normal weekend the Jessica Alba thriller would be looking at something like $15 million, but tempered by Sunday’s Super Bowl it may dip down to the $11 or $12 million range. Over Her Dead Body is at 65,25 and 4. Strange Wilderness…36, 25 and 2. For whatever reason the significant indicators that the Hannah Montana concert film will be extra-big (as indicated by yesterday’s Fandango report) aren’t showing up in tracking…79, 15 and 4..
Fool’s Gold, opening next week, is now at 81, 33 and 7….decent. Vince Vaughn’s Wild West Comedy Show…28, 11 and 0. Welcome Home Roscoe Jenkins…59, 29 and 5. Definitely Maybe (2.14) is now at 35,29 and 1. Jumper…52, 39 and 6….not bad. Vantage Point (2.22) is at 44, 38 and 4…it could pop.

45 thoughts on “Thursday tracking

  1. BurmaShave on said:

    Enough. Please. There can’t be anyone other than an actuary who finds this stuff interesting. I understand it’s the film BUSINESS, but this is just depressing.

  2. I don’t understand exactly how this tracking thing works, but I would imagine that Hannah Montana is not tracking big because it is a limited engagement, with a limited target audience, and, as I understand, all the shows are already sold out. Interest doesn’t matter because there are no tickets available, anyway.
    Oh, how I miss Ian Sinclair. He would be able to explain how the plucky Miley Cyrus is now clearly an Oscar frontrunner, but you won’t understand that until you see the film in 3D. (Or England)

  3. Granted, Strange Wilderness looks atrocious (it’s from the House of Sandler), but who-the-hell releases a comedy aimed at young men on Super Bowl weekend?

  4. Wouldn’t it be great if it turned out that Doug Liman made a smart (enough) big budget high concept action thriller in Jumper? Have there been any advance reviews put out? I haven’t heard anything about it, and looking at the trailer, I can easily see it being a complete piece of shit, but still hold out hope that he made something to elevate the genre, ala Bourne (big time) or Mr and Mrs Smith (ever so slightly)…

  5. For whatever reason the significant indicators that the Hannah Montana concert film will be extra-big
    [Typical exchange on the ride to 'Hannah Montana & Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert Tour']
    Daughter: Daddy, why were you and mommy fighting about Hannah Montana before we left?
    Father: Fighting? We weren’t fighting…
    Daughter: Oh, ok…Hey Dad??
    Father: Yes, sweetheart?
    Daughter: Can I get some popcorn at the theater?
    Father: Sure, whatever you want…popcorn, soda, skittles…
    Daughter: Really? Cool!…..Can I get an erection?
    Father: Wha…what?
    Daughter: Well I heard mom say YOU were gonna get one, can I get one too?

  6. Dear God, what a depressing weekend. The Alba trying to act, Steve Zahn stuck in ‘Wilderness’, which does look atrocious, and perhaps worst of all…Paul Rudd slumming in ‘Over Her Dead Body’. How does ‘OHDB’ even get green-lighted? It looks like something from the 80′s – did the producers of “Mannequin” or “Weekend At Bernie’s” get back into the business after a long lay-off? I’m at a loss…again, not a banner weekend.

  7. burma, commenters here have spoken openly about their lust for the adolescent Cyrus…while I don’t share or condone the feelings, I’m sure their no limited to male readers of HE….

  8. 115th Dreamer wrote:
    How does ‘OHDB’ even get green-lighted? It looks like something from the 80′s – did the producers of “Mannequin” or “Weekend At Bernie’s” get back into the business after a long lay-off?
    Actually, the trailer looked more like a remake of KISS ME GOODBYE with Eva in the James Caan role.

  9. “Steve Zahn stuck in ‘Wilderness’”
    Stuck? Yeah, sure…
    The man has made a career out of awful comedies.
    Three films this weekend kept from press screenings. That has to set some record.

  10. “Over her dead body” actually looks abysmal
    enough to miss the top 10…(although on Super
    Bowl weekend, it may squeak through)…
    Here’s a question..this time next year, when
    the “Spartans” team puts out their next atrocity,
    will the 14-to-25 year old demographic remember
    how they felt they’d flushed their 9.50 ticket
    money down the toilet for “Spartans”…since the
    success of these, uh..”film-makers” depends on
    the lobotomized memory of their target audience(and their ability to blank out all memory of
    “Date Movie” and “Epic Movie”

  11. Kids’ movies always undertrack vs. performance, and this will be no exception since adults are not going to be hugely interested apart from children. Also, in NYC all tickets, all shows are $15–no kid discount at all–at theatres where it’s normally $12/adult, $8.75/children. That’ll help juice the gross.
    Considering I’ve seen almost no TV ads for Jumper (and quite a few for Defintely, Maybe), those numbers are solid–with good ads (say, during tonight’s “Lost” premiere and the big game Sunday), that’ll pop. The “Lost” premiere is also a solid place for “Vantage Point” to start its big push.

  12. Hey Rich, you made a second ‘Hello Again’ mention. Mr. Peel got the third and I got the fourth. I think we can quit now.
    I will claim the first (?) reference to ‘Camp Beverly Hill’ and hope it goes no further.

  13. And let’s not forget TOPPER and BLITHE SPIRIT…
    If everyone’s darling Reese Witherspoon couldn’t make the concept work, why would anyone think the loathesome Eva Longoria can?

  14. Also, the Hannah Montana audience isn’t likely to take much of a hit because of the Super Bowl–the female 8-13 demo and moms may well just go see Hannah Montana instead of watching the game.

  15. Eva Longoria is an overrated beauty, but she has the ingredients to be a decent comedienne. I wouldn’t quite be ready to call her loathsome. Just think how far she’s come! Only two years ago she was being sexually harassed by Kiefer Sutherland, and now she’s playing a brown harpie ex-girlfriend after death. I really hope this movie was pitched as “Rita Moreno in WHITE MEN CAN’T JUMP meets THE SIXTH SENSE”

  16. I feel that it would be insulting to even mention Truly, Madly, Deeply among these ghost-romance atrocities.
    Oops, too late. Sorry, Mr. Minghella.

  17. Okay Josh, so you got to make the first and thus far only mention of that film. I will take this opportunity to mention “The Money Pit” as a picture I truly loathed. (SAT question: “Mr. Blandings Builds His Dream House” is to “The Money Pit” as “Topper” is to _________? The answer, of course, “Over Her Dead Body”.)
    The Alba question is a puzzeler, D.Z. If someone is researching why “Meet the Spartans” was #1 last weekend, could you move on to D.Z.’s question after you finish up with that?

  18. Shelly Long had a good run: Cheers, Outrageous Fortune, Troop Bev Hills, The Brady Bunch Movie. She actually had talent. Now, in terms of Alba…well, I guess she’s multi-ethnically attractive so….is that why they put her in movies? I don’t know.

  19. Tommy: At least that Spartan movie gives people what they want. But Alba doesn’t do nudity, and no one watches her movies for her or her acting(or lack thereof), so why is she still getting parts? She’s as successful as Shannon Elizabeth after American Pie, so why would any respectable Hollywood producer want to keep casting a box office dead-weight like her?
    Aris: Over Her Dead Body is like Ghost Dad with a second-rate Jennifer Lopez in the lead.
    insidah: Someone at the now defunct Whatever-Dude had an article with an industry person saying exactly that. [I think they called her "ethnically ambiguous" or something like that.]

  20. DZ: Over Her Dead Body is like Ghost Dad with a second-rate Jennifer Lopez in the lead.
    – Okay, that was funny. Good one.

  21. If Alba’s only a second-rate Jennifer Lopez then what does that make her compared to, you know, someone with talent…a third-rate Salma Hayek? Fourth-rate Rosario Dawson?
    Ok, I’ll give Lopez ‘Out of Sight,’ but that was 10 years ago. One movie.

  22. “Hannah Montana” runs 75 minutes, almost the same running time(minus credits)of “Cloverfield”
    And the films are identical – both feature
    an unstoppable entity impervious to any damage and capable of striking fear and loathing in
    countless adult hearts.

  23. Don’t forget Shelley Long as the perky hooker in Night Shift!
    BTW: In Houston, Strange Wilderness had the smallest opening-day newspaper ad any major studio release has had since… well, ever. Is that the case elsewhere as well? Also, my 21-year-old son, who watches a LOT of sports on TV, had no idea what I was talking about when I told him about seeing the movie last night. Have they even run TV spots for this one?

  24. I forgot to bring up HELLO AGAIN in my career interview with Austin Pendelton. Apparently, I was the only one…
    Long is a terrific comedic actress. She just committed the number one sin of Hollywood actresses: she aged past 40.
    And doesn’t Jessica Alba play a blind world-class violenist in THE EYE? Who says Hollywood doesn’t make great fantasy films?

  25. Re insidah and D.Z.’s posts:
    Now, in terms of Alba…well, I guess she’s multi-ethnically attractive so….is that why they put her in movies? I don’t know.
    But Alba doesn’t do nudity, and no one watches her movies for her or her acting(or lack thereof), so why is she still getting parts?
    Maybe because she’s the Raquel Welch of her generation.

  26. Joe Leydon wrote:
    BTW: In Houston, Strange Wilderness had the smallest opening-day newspaper ad any major studio release has had since… well, ever. Is that the case elsewhere as well? Also, my 21-year-old son, who watches a LOT of sports on TV, had no idea what I was talking about when I told him about seeing the movie last night. Have they even run TV spots for this one?
    I don’t know about TV spots, but it was plugged for a few minutes on THE HOWARD STERN SHOW yesterday.
    Since ex-SNL writer Fred Wolf was involved, I’m surprised that Sandler’s company didn’t ask Paramount to come up with a tagline like: FROM THE WRITER OF JOE DIRT!

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