Saturday numbers
Baby Mama will win the weekend with a projected $18,538,000 by Sunday night. Runner-up Harold and Kumar Escape From Guantanamo Bay will earn about $14,558,000. Forgetting Sarah Marshall will be third with $10,900,000 — a drop of 38% from last weekend (a semi-decent hold), a Sunday-night cume of $35 million, and a resonable bet to finish with $60 million, give or take. The Forbidden Kingdom, suffering from word-of-mouth, will be off 51% from last weekend for a $10,398,000 haul.
All well and good for the top five, but the lion’s share of the business next weekend will be vacuumed up by Iron Man and Made of Honor. Enjoy the earnings and the attention while they last. All glory is fleeting.
Prom Night will come in sixth with $4,570,000. Nims Island will make about $4,511,000 for a seventh-place showing. 21, a success, will bring in $3838,000 for a $75,600,000 cume. 88 Minutes, the Al Pacino embarassment, will earn $3,263,000. Dr. Seuss’s Horton Hears a Who will take in $2,476,000.
In tenth place is Hugh Jackman‘s Deception, a piece of shit costarring Ewan McGregor that will earn $2,181,000 (L.A. Times reporter John Horn predicted $5 million….hah!) and $1100 a theatre.
Go Tina Fey
Is Deception really a piece of shit? Or is it like Stay, where everyone calls it a piece of shit because it wasn’t screened and has been delayed forever (Granted, never a sign of a good movie). but actually turns out to be more than halfway decent?
I dunno. Harold and Kumar sounds more like a Saturday movie to me than Baby Mama. But I guess the fact that Sarah Marshall’s dropped so low probably means it *doesn’t* have legs as everyone claimed.
Congrating Warner Bros for having first success on releasing New line’s movie theatrically.
Go Tina Fey
The Winchester wrote:
Is Deception really a piece of shit? Or is it like Stay, where everyone calls it a piece of shit because it wasn’t screened and has been delayed forever (Granted, never a sign of a good movie). but actually turns out to be more than halfway decent?
STAY was directed by Marc Forster; DECEPTION–while not quite a POS, was directed by a man who did TV commercials and was uncomfortable with long-form storytelling.
DZ, either learn your trade shit or stop writing about it. 38% really isn’t all that bad. Like the man said, decent.
Harold and Kumar is strictly Friday Night. No Teen based R rated feature is ever a Saturday pic over an adult based pg-13 pic with a bit of Teen cred. I called Baby at #1 long ago for this weekend.
Burma: He said semi-decent. And it’s pretty significant, next to Knocked Up’s numbers.
typical: You forgot about American Pie and Superbad.
FSM’s projected second-weekend drop is all of two points bigger than Knocked Up‘s. If you mean FSM won’t get close to Knocked Up‘s $150 million total, then yeah, that’s pretty obvious — but then that was obvious last weekend too, so I’m not sure what you think you’re telling us here.
Also of note–”Expelled” is off 63% weekend-to-weekend. Their audience found it, saw it, and there’s no crossing over going on.
Bob: It wasn’t really that obvious. If Apatow’s fanbase was that strong, then Harold and Kumar 2 would be making FSM’s second weekend gross.
FSM opened to just over half the gross of Knocked Up (on roughly the same number of screens) and you’re claiming “it wasn’t really that obvious” that FSM wouldn’t match Knocked Up‘s final numbers? It’s become literally impossible to underestimate your intelligence at this point.
Those are HUGE numbers for H&K, considering the original didn’t actually do much in theatres despite the early hype and the whole “no one goes to War on Terror movies” thing.
Bob: The only Apatow flops so far have been Drillbit Taylor and Walk Hard; and unlike FSM, those were stylistically different from Knocked Up and Superbad.
Most people could look at FSM’s day-one gross ($6 million) and immediately guess that it wouldn’t match Knocked Up ($10 million). It was obvious to everyone, right out of the gate, that FSM would be no Knocked Up; the fact that it wasn’t clear to you suggests that you should stay far, far away from heavy machinery and strenuous mental activity, like looking at two numbers and determining which one is bigger and which one is smaller.
Bob: Friday gross =/= Saturday gross.
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