No Respect

Scott Feinberg‘s final Oscar nomination forecast include the following the Best Picture picks: The Hurt Locker, Avatar, Up in the Air, Inglourious Basterds, Precious, An Education, Up, Invictus, District 9, The Blind Side. He omits A Serious Man because, being a real-world handicapper, he obviously believes that most Academy voters will omit it also.

No rag on Scott but that’s just (a) sick, (b) derelict and (c) decrepit. To nominate Invictus, a decent but second-tier Clint Eastwood film primarily because it honors Nelson Mandela by way of a steady and soothing Morgan Freeman performance, and at the same time not nominate one of the finest-ever Coen brothers’ films — a pitch-black comedy with a riveting exactitude of tone, cultural satire and misanthropic worldview — is outrageous. Putrid. Shame on anyone who would think and nominate along these lines.

  • CitizenKanedforChewingGum

    He’s in the game of predicting, Jeff. You have to realize there’s a sizable difference between “trying to predict the nominees” and “if I chose the nominees.”

    If you’re going to get upset at anything, I’d get upset at him listing Nine under the category of “Shoulda Been a Contender,” which seems to suggest that he personally liked that film.

    So I guess he was the one!

  • JHR

    For The Blind Side to make it into the BP race is either a joke or it is an indication of just how weak this year has been.

  • http://www.sammyray.com Ray

    I agree … Invictus is a joke. As an experiment, I’d like Eastwood to film himself taking a 90 minute dump, and then watch the Academy justify nominating it for Best Picture. He doesn’t need to be nominated for every film simply because he’s old.

    I’m slightly confused about the inclusion of Up here. First of all, wasn’t it this site that was championing the separation of live action and animation? So why have the rules changed suddenly?

    Besides that, Up is a fine film, but is it really that good?? In my mind, it is not even close to the best Pixar has produced, and none of those were nominated for Best Picture. I mean, the film has talking dogs for cryin’ out loud. I really didn’t get into these characters, either. Sure, the beginning of the film is poignant and masterfully done, but the rest of it is fairly standard.

  • CitizenKanedforChewingGum

    Man, I totally agree with you about Up, Ray. It does have that one fantastic montage about the married couple growing old together, but besides that? I found it to be surprisingly juvenile in a way that almost all Pixar films aren’t (note: I still haven’t seen Cars).

    If you really want an animated BP representative, I absolutely say slide Coraline in that slot instead!

  • The Winchester

    At least The Hangover doesn’t fit into his prediction.

  • Ray

    @ The Winchester – The Hangover is a better film than Up. Easily. No doubt.

  • Ray

    On second thought, The Hangover is better than several of the films Feinberg mentions. It’s better than The Blind Side. It’s better than Up. It’s better than Invictus.

    So tired of people ragging on The Hangover simply because (a) it’s a comedy, and (b) because it was popular.

  • DarthCorleone

    Ray & CitzenKane >> You guys perfectly stated my feelings about Up. It’s good and all, but goodness did I find it overrated. You’re absolutely right about the juvenile slant it takes that puts it a notch below most Pixar offerings, and I LOVE talking dogs!

    I like Coraline, but if there needs to be an animated representative to complete the ten, I’m with Fantastic Mr Fox.

  • reverent and free

    I have to agree with the “meh” response to Up. It should have been a half-hour short, tops. There’s just not enough character or story to justify 90 minutes. And even the best part, the non verbal montage of the marriage, is by no means an original idea, and has been done in many other animated and live action films.

    Does District 9 really have a greater chance than Star Trek?

  • CitizenKanedforChewingGum

    I’d be onboard with that choice, too, Darth.

  • CitizenKanedforChewingGum

    “Does District 9 really have a greater chance than Star Trek?”

    I’m probably in the minority, but I hope not. Don’t get me wrong, D9 had some really interesting ideas, but it wasn’t even close to being fully-realized. ST was pulpy as hell, but I’ll be damned if it didn’t achieve a sort of balls-out, operatic perfection over the (admittedly mediocre) material.

    I’m a real sucker for movies like the latter.

  • Gordon27

    “Does District 9 really have a greater chance than Star Trek?”

    People want to believe it does, but I’ve never seen any serious argument about it. ‘Star Trek’ was nominated as Best Film by the producer’s guild (or, whatever, “Best Produced”), Best Adapted Screenplay by the writer’s guild, and Best Ensemble by SAG. ‘District 9′ was up for Best Produced and that’s it. The only thing people say is that it feels more serious or auteurist, the latter of which has nothing to do with Oscars, and the former is questionable.

    I think he’s spot-on on the other nine, though. Invictus is shit, but it’s the sort of self-important shit that some people think is good by virtue of being Important.

  • Gordon27

    BTW, has anybody seen the other Mandela movie? The one that played Sundance ’09? I only ask because, as soon as I read that Clarke Peters from ‘The Wire’ played Mandela, I thought it sounded a lot more interesting than this very safe Eastwood pseudo-Mandela-biopic.

  • Gordon27

    I mostly agree with Feinberg’s picks, but I have a feeling this recent Mackie push is just wishful thinking [though it's amazing that 'Lovely Bones' went from a serious contender for all the nominations to barely squeaking in with maybe a supporting actor].

    I also suspect Moore over Morton, but it’s a toss-up (especially with Gyllenhaal in there as well).

  • Jonathan Spuij

    The Hangover is slightly overrated. Perhaps the fact that most comedies suck and this one doesn’t is a bit deceptive in the matter.

  • John Cocktosten

    It’s good to see others who see Up for what it is — an above-average Dreamworks animated film, complete with talking dogs who fly airplanes and paper-thin characters. I am stunned at the praise it gets, and it is in no way worthy of a best picture nomination even with the field expanded to ten.

    Hopefully it will be a growing minority, along with those of us who immediately thought the Dark Knight was crap.

  • George Prager

    THE HANGOVER is not going to be nominated for Best Picture. Jeez.

  • Colin

    After seeing ‘A Single Man’ I really don’t see Moore getting nominated. I’d easily slide Laurent from IB in there instead.

  • DeeZee

    Kind of surprised ‘Summer isn’t considered a contender for BP. Anyway, the Razzie ballots have also been revealed. For some reason, Watchmen made the list…

    http://forums.metacritic.com/eve/forums/a/tpc/f/5270020885/m/989103524

  • http://AndTheWinnerIs.blog.com scottfeinberg

    @Ray: I was never “championing the separation of live action and animation.” I merely reported the fact that many voters refuse to consider animated films for best picture when there is a specific category designated for best animated feature. With 10 spots in the best picture race, though, and what I’ve found to be widespread support for UP throughout the Academy, I think it will be able to overcome this.

    @Gordon27: STAR TREK was *not* nominated for best ensemble by SAG. It *was* nominated for and won best stunt ensemble… which means absolutely nothing in terms of the Oscar race.

  • googs

    In a fair and just world Serious Man would be a serious contender.

    And Invictus?? I agree. seriously get that movie out of this discussion. It’s an absolute bore and barely worthy the $10 ticket (more of a wait to see on video film) than an Oscar nomination.

  • K. Bowen

    I’m kinda excited to see whether the expanded format means more surprises. If a film seems to sneak into the five every year, does that mean we can get a couple for the ten?

    It’s a shame that Bright Star isn’t in the discussion. The omission of it and A Serious Man would be terrible.

    Invictus is well-meaning and better than, say, Changeling. Still, Eastwood is churning films out of varying quality. It wouldn’t surprise me to see it missing.

    What are everyone’s surprises? Are we going to wake up and find Fantastic Mr. Fox in one of the spots, or something like that? Star Trek?

  • Gordon27

    “After seeing ‘A Single Man’ I really don’t see Moore getting nominated. I’d easily slide Laurent from IB in there instead.”

    Colin – Seeing her actual performance definitely made me think twice too, but I still see her over either Gyllenhaal or Morton, in that I can actually see people voting for Julianne Moore based on her being Julianne Moore finally back in a halfway good movie.

  • http://Www.sammyray.com Ray

    @Feinberg- I was talking about Jeff’s prejudice against animated films being nominated against live action, not yours. That’s why I mentioned “this site” specifically.

  • http://martiansattackingindianapolis.blogspot.com/ Josh Massey

    I mean, the film has talking dogs for cryin’ out loud.”

    Oddly enough, I rolled with the talking dogs. But at the canine airplane pilots, I checked out. Up was a very good film, but above only Cars in Pixar’s filmography.

    And I damn near worship JJ Abrams, but Star Trek was his Superman Returns. Have never understood the love for that one.

  • Terry McCarty

    JHR wrote:

    For The Blind Side to make it into the BP race is either a joke or it is an indication of just how weak this year has been.–Certainly the latter.

    Josh Massey wrote:

    And I damn near worship JJ Abrams, but Star Trek was his Superman Returns. Have never understood the love for that one.

    The love apparently was for Abrams’ eagerness to serve Paramount/Viacom by turning STAR TREK into the kind of popcorn swill that makes the First Generation “user-friendly” THE VOYAGE HOME look positively intellectual by contrast.

  • googs

    I don’t get the Moore buzz. Gyllenhaal wasn’t anything to write home about either. The supporting actress category is kind of weak this year. Monique’s got it in the bag.

  • Colin

    @googs

    I agree. Only Mo’nique and the UitA girls have it clinched, but I bet the other two slots go to either Nine or Basterds with Moore/Gyllenhaal being shut out.

  • Geoff

    I would love to see A Serious Man get in – it’s up there with the best Coen Brothers and probably the best film of last year, in my opinion – but I just don’t see it. Heck, title confusion might put A Single Man in ahead of it – can any one actually see both of them getting in, considering the similar titles?

    And with all of the Basterd’s love, why is Waltz the only actor getting any talk? Laurent was fantastic and her placement is usually right in the Oscar’s wheelhouse for Best Supporting Actress – young, attractive actress coming from nowhere.

    I would like to see District 9 get in, but no way with Avatar in this race, not going to happen. Can any one see the Academy nominating multiple sci-fi films, when it’s an absolute rarity to nominate even one???? I know, ten nominations – those extra slots will likely go to The Blind Side (it will happen, yes), Up, An Education, Crazy Heart and maybe Julie and Julia.

    I actually see a very likely scenario where Invictus does not get in – The Blind Side has COMPLETELY stolen the sports movie thunder and I have a feeling that the Academy is getting a little wise to Eastwood. They didn’t nominate Flags of our Fathers and I was SURE they were going to nominate Gran Turino, last year, and they gave it nothing.

    Here are my predications for Best Picture ten:

    Avatar

    Precious

    Up in the Air

    The Hurt Locker

    Inglorious Basterds

    Crazy Heart

    Up

    The Blind Side

    A Single Man

    An Education

  • LexG

    Funny everyone thinks INVICTUS is some overly reverent, quietly respectful study of Nelson Mandela.

    No offense to Mandela, Clint, Morgan or the movie, which I liked, but it plays as the heartwarming story of a doddering old goofball who just wants to watch the game on TV. Scene after scene depicts him as ducking out of crucial peace meetings to wheel a TV set over to his desk… It’s the Bush-choking-on-a-chip scene of W. times about 12.

  • reverent and free

    Nothing would make me happier Tuesday morning than if Sam Rockwell made it into the Best Actor nominees for Moon. But I know the only contender he could edge out is Freeman: Bridges, Clooney, Renner, and Firth are locks.

  • Gordon27

    He’d also have to edge out Viggo Mortensen, who’s generally considered the one who’ll get the slot if one of them fails to.

  • jse33

    There’s usually at least 1 surprise nomination, but I have my doubts this time. I was lucky enough to see “The Messenger” over the weekend and am hoping it can pull in a handful of nominations, although I’ll be happy with Harrelson and Morton noms. It’s another fantastic, low-budget film that no one will get to see in time to reward it properly.

  • MechanicalShark

    Lol, The Hangover. If that turns up as a Picture nominee, I give up, and every reasonable person should, too. To the moron that said people were down on The Hangover because it’s popular and a comedy, have you ever stopped to consider that maybe it’s because many intelligent people think the film-making was substandard, the themes were juvenile, and the film was massively misogynistic? It’s okay for what it is, but what it is is not a Picture contender. And, well, I don’t think it is even remotely close to having a shot.

    As to District 9 vs. Star Trek, well, both have strong precursor support, but District 9 has a bit of a leg up because of the apartheid metaphor giving it a certain gravitas. And, uh, well, Star Trek is…Star Trek. There’s no way in hell a film called Star Trek gets a Best Picture nod. I won’t deny it will come close, but in the end something more Academy-friendly will slip into the tenth slot.

    So, to recap:

    The DGA Five

    An Education – the British contingent/some actors

    Up – the Academy members who haven’t seen much else

    District 9 – well, it has a lot of passion behind it.

    Invictus – If there were ten nods for the 2008 group, Gran Torino and Changeling would both have been nominated. So…

    A Serious Man – Not to be offensive, but there ARE a lot of Jews in the Academy, and the Coens have kind of broken through into semi-acceptability.

  • Gordon27

    re, your last point, a few months back, I called this half-jokingly, but I’m now definitely sure Jeff is going to say something like this over the next week:

    Basterds got nominated because it’s Jewish porn, and Serious Man didn’t because it’s Jews depicting caricature Jews that anger some Jews.

  • masini

    Yes, it is no respect in this days. I don t understand why. It is all about educations. vanzari auto dezmembrari masini

    That is live.

  • seo tools

    I actually see a very likely scenario where Invictus does not get in – The Blind Side has completely stolen the sports movie thunder and I have a feeling that the Academy is getting a little wise to Eastwood. They didn’t nominate Flags of our Fathers and I was sure they were going to nominate Gran Turino

    online sitemap generator

  • hexad

    I actually see a very likely scenario where Invictus does not get in – The Blind Side has completely stolen the sports movie thunder and I have a feeling that the Academy is getting a little wise to Eastwood. They didn’t nominate Flags of our Fathers and I was sure they were going to nominate Gran Turino

    online sitemap generator

  • http://www.articlesbase.com/advertising-articles/treating-yeast-infections-fast-safe-and-effective-treatments-2068438.html ali

    Loved Avatar and Gran Torino – best movies seen on the big screen. There is just so much crap out there…..

    ******************

    home remedies for yeast infections

    treating yeast infections

    home remedies for yeast infections

    treating yeast infections

  • http://www.nikeshoxsales.com nikeshoxsale

    I am not sure I agree with your comment about this article, but I agree with everything else you just said.They are the trendy products of nike,and they are loved by most people. nike shox shoes is the best on sale.the our product is direct from comany.so you can buy cheap nike shox shoes.such as nike shox r4 ,nike shox oz,nike shox NZ and so on.the nike shox sale is the best selling shoe.also you could enjoy free shipping no tax and more discount ,all are of toppest quality and in a competitive price .The products listed on our website are available for shipping in stock. If you find some interesting you want , please don’t hesitate to contact us.We will be your best supplier and wholesaler of Nike shox shoes!

  • northface

    buy cheap mac makeup on our online store.

    mac cosmetics outlet sale cheap makeup

    i like mac cosmetics.

  • dachshund

    I am somewhat fired up to check out whether or not that broadened arrangement signifies a lot more surprises. Whether a roll film feels to be able to sneak in to the all 5 yearly, will which signify you can obtain several for any some?

    It is just a embarrassed which Shiny Movie star is not from the discourse. That omission regarding the idea plus a Severe Gentleman will be horrendous.

    Colin : Witnessing your girlfriend precise efficiency certainly produced me personally consider very, nonetheless POST nonetheless notice your girlfriend more than also Gyllenhaal as well as Morton, as I’ll truly notice men and women voting with regard to Julianne Moore determined by your girlfriend currently being Julianne Moore last but not least the government financial aid any halfway excellent film. worms in dogs pictures

  • http://www.xn--mgbadaj9cvb1fe5d.com bano
  • Chat

    Thank you very much for this article.I like yalova emlak its.As to me it’s yalova emlak good job.I wait ur next articles.I like this yalova ilaclama site. I come everytime chat this sohbet site.

    kopuz

    bayanlarla sohbet xat sohbet siber forum chat roulete omegle omegle omegle sohbet