L.A. Times/Envelope columnist Pete Hammond was way in front of everyone on calling The Blind Side as a Best Picture contender and especially as a Best Actress shot for Sandra Bullock. Here's how it went down, according to an e-mail he sent around this morning:

"I first saw The Blind Side on the WB lot on October 15th. This was roughly five weeks before opening, and there were about five people in the screening room. I called WB the next day and asked them afterwards if they knew what they had, that this was Bullock's Erin Brockovich, and said she can get an Oscar nomination if they campaign it. They weren't even planning to do that at this stage.
"I held off writing about it and predicting the Oscar nomination until Nov 4th -- the first time I talked it up.
"The same day I participated in the first Gurus Of Gold on November 4th and was the only pundit predicting Bullock then. (Aside to Poland: If I hadn't put her on there she wouldn't have even made your Gurus list, David!)
"On November 23rd I wrote about it again after the opening weekend's boxoffice report and put out a public plea for someone, ANYONE to join me on buzzmeter in predicting Bullock. Again I was still alone."
Wells to Hammond: I might have joined you, Pete, if the brainiacs at Warner Bros. publicity had the horse sense to invite me to their early screenings, which of course in their stupendous and magnificent obstinacy they don't.
Hammond, Durling and myself at '07 Santa Barbara Film Festival. "That article was used by Santa Barbara Film Festival chief Roger Durling in convincing Sandra's reps to commit to a tribute and award at the SBIFF when a Best Actress nomination seemed still like a longshot. He first contacted them after the first article on November 4th. He hadn't even seen the movie at that point.
"This coming Friday night I am hosting the SBIFF American Riviera award tribute to Sandra's career at the 2200-seat Arlington. Roger told me it is the fastest-selling tribute in the 25-year history of the festival."
Posted by Jeffrey Wells on February 2, 2010 at 8:30 AM
comment #1
Josh Massey
says ...
Wait, people actually send out mass e-mails to colleagues bragging about their correct predictions?
Posted by Josh Massey
at February 2, 2010 8:51 AM
comment #2
Bilge
says ...
Congratulations, Pete Hammond! I know that the road was hard, the obstacles aplenty. Along the way there were naysayers of all stripes, and those who said it just. Could. Not. Be. Done. But you proved that with hard work, inspiration, persistence of vision, and the best goddamn support team in this business (yay!) that anything is possible. This night is yours. Celebrate. Dance. Drink well. Eat heartily. You have earned it, my friend. Tonight, a weary but grateful town raises its glasses and tips its hats. To you. No one else. But you.
Posted by Bilge
at February 2, 2010 8:56 AM
comment #3
scottfeinberg
says ...
With all due respect to Pete, who I like a lot, this is the second year in a row that he's taken credit for predicting something that he didn't predict. True, he floated the idea of "The Reader" getting nominated last year and he floated the idea of "The Blind Side" getting nominated this year, but when it came time to pull the trigger and include them in his final projections he didn't. As the only regular Oscar blogger who DID predict "The Reader" (http://bit.ly/dkODfB) and one of only two who DID predict "The Blind Side" (http://bit.ly/aSmPBh), it's hard to stand by and watch that silently.
Posted by scottfeinberg
at February 2, 2010 8:57 AM
comment #4
Ray
says ...
So ... we have Hammond to blame for The Blind Side getting a Best Picture nomination? Cool ... I'll never read him again.
Posted by Ray
at February 2, 2010 8:57 AM
comment #5
Eloi Manning
says ...
Go Pete! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Qae_TUTeGo
Posted by Eloi Manning
at February 2, 2010 9:01 AM
comment #6
corey3rd
says ...
who put the buzz that got Land of the Lost all those Razzies?
Posted by corey3rd
at February 2, 2010 9:06 AM
comment #7
Jonathan Spuij
says ...
Those SBIFF folks sure sound a little, I dunno, lame. Fastest selling ever for Bullock? No way, there must be something else there as well. Free drinks?
Posted by Jonathan Spuij
at February 2, 2010 9:06 AM
comment #8
Alex
says ...
Maybe Maxim will hire him back...
Posted by Alex
at February 2, 2010 9:12 AM
comment #9
Phatang!
says ...
Another inspiring reminder that each and every one of us have the power to make a difference in this world.
Posted by Phatang!
at February 2, 2010 9:16 AM
comment #10
Deathtongue_Groupie
says ...
Jeff must be writing up a lengthy tribute to David Brown not to have commented on his passing yet.
The phrase "an end to an era" is pretty overused these days, but Brown certainly deserves the tribute. Salinger at 91, Brown at 93 - who is going to complete this threesome?
Posted by Deathtongue_Groupie
at February 2, 2010 9:26 AM
comment #11
Josh Massey
says ...
Hey, guys! GUYS! I called it on December 4th! SEE?
Posted by Josh Massey
at February 2, 2010 9:28 AM
comment #12
mccool
says ...
And I "called" Ray Rice blowing up this year by drafting him in the 6th Round of my fantasy draft....
It's the same thing, isn't it?
Posted by mccool
at February 2, 2010 9:31 AM
comment #13
Phatang!
says ...
Well played. I took Le'Ron McClain in Round 11.
Posted by Phatang!
at February 2, 2010 9:43 AM
comment #14
Josh Massey
says ...
Yes, but I also got Rice - in the 15th round. I'm multifaceted awesome.
(I'm obviously just ribbing Hammond's e-mail. I'm sure I could also dig and find my prediction that, no way, Americans aren't going to elect a black guy named "Obama.")
Posted by Josh Massey
at February 2, 2010 9:51 AM
comment #15
Chase Kahn
says ...
Man, if it wasn't for Pete Hammond, great films like "The Blind Side" wouldn't even get nominated for Best Picture!
Posted by Chase Kahn
at February 2, 2010 10:34 AM
comment #16
topbroker
says ...
I think that the folks running Carey Mulligan's Best Actress campaign have a serious shot at taking down Sandra Bullock, if they go about it right (which is to say, flooding the voting body with screeners, taking out lots of ads, etc.). Think Maggie Smith in The Prime of Miss Jean Brodie, which was a huge upset in 1970, Think Marion Cotillard. Think Juliette Binoche. Surprises are always more apt to happen in the actress categories, and Bullock looks to me like a very soft front-runner.
Posted by topbroker
at February 2, 2010 11:30 AM
comment #17
jdmabby
says ...
[Deleted -- poster banned for life.]
Posted by jdmabby
at February 2, 2010 12:40 PM
comment #18
DarthCorleone
says ...
I took Ray Rice in the sixth round as well. However, if you're playing in a league where Rice was still available in the 15th round, then - I'm sorry - you're playing with a bunch of nincompoops. Either that or you're playing in a league with only four teams.
Posted by DarthCorleone
at February 2, 2010 1:01 PM
comment #19
mccool
says ...
Rice in the 15th Round? How many women are in your league?
Posted by mccool
at February 2, 2010 1:08 PM
comment #20
buster keaton
says ...
Pete needs to send out an email to remind us what he thought of last year's other big movies:
Extract - Flat-out hilarious. A terrific, smart and really funny comedy.
G-Force - Hilarious! Pure family fun: Action, laughs and heart.
Old Dogs - Riotously funny!
It's Complicated - Movies don't get any funnier than this!
Amelia - Amelia is grand entertainment in the best tradition of the movies.
Battle for Terra - Mind-blowing 3-D animation.
Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs - The most purely entertaining and inventive animated comedy of the year.
Race To Witch Mountain - Race To Witch Mountain has it all!
Earth - Earth is a breathtaking motion picture achievement.
Race To Witch Mountain - A fun, heart-racing adventure
A Christmas Carol - Spectacular!
The Maid - First class...simply superb!
Whip It - Juno's Ellen Page is superb
The Boys - Extraordinary!
The Burning Plain - A certain must-see this fall!
Brothers - An Oscar-worthy must-see movie for our times.
17 Again - Zac Efron shoots and scores!
Confessions of a Shopaholic - Hilarious! Confessions is a nonstop laughing spree.
Hammond was named 2009's Whore of the Year by eFilmCritic for his non-stop deluge of raves for every movie he sees -- http://efilmcritic.com/feature.php?feature=2904
He may be a "nice guy" but jeesh, what a publicity whore!
Posted by buster keaton
at February 2, 2010 1:17 PM
comment #21
Glenn Kenny
says ...
Jeez, I'm really curious as to what jdmabby did.
Very droll thread here, I must say.
Posted by Glenn Kenny
at February 2, 2010 1:20 PM
comment #22
Circumvrent
says ...
Everyone who commented on this thread is doing God's work.
Posted by Circumvrent
at February 2, 2010 1:21 PM
comment #23
The Winchester
says ...
I called Sandra Bullock back in August!
Of course that was for All about Steve.
And it was for a Razzie.
But I was right! Where's my celebratory fellating email to my colleagues?!?
Posted by The Winchester
at February 2, 2010 1:30 PM
comment #24
The InSneider
says ...
That Hammond email is RIDICULOUS. It's a desperate plea that says Hey, remember me! I'm relevant! And while we're playing this SILLY game, you weren't the only one predicting Blind Side, Feinberg, and I doubt you're counting me as the other one... but your predictions were a factor in my own so thanks for that... http://theinsneider.blogspot.com/2010/02/insneiders-final-2010-oscar-predictions.html
As soon as I saw Invictus I knew it'd be a Freeman-only nominee (it wasn't -- Damon got in too, UGH!) but you don't see me sending out a mass email poking fun at everyone who was still predicting it'd make the 10, based on the Clint Eastwood MYTHOS.
Gotta love the Oscar blog game. The knives came out in the past 24 hours. Jeez!
Posted by The InSneider
at February 2, 2010 2:09 PM
comment #25
Colin
says ...
Well hey when you predict that for 30 films you're bound to get one correct.
Posted by Colin
at February 2, 2010 2:57 PM
comment #26
Josh Massey
says ...
"Jeez, I'm really curious as to what jdmabby did."
He/she/it was a spammer - nothing controversial.
As for my fantasy football league, I play in a 10-team league (yes, one woman) - BUT we play with individual defensive players as well, so our draft goes a lot longer and "sleepers" are taken later than usual.
Ok, back to our movie discussion...
Posted by Josh Massey
at February 2, 2010 3:45 PM
comment #27
Josh Massey
says ...
And, uh, is that Santa Barbara ad supposed to do that?
Posted by Josh Massey
at February 2, 2010 3:45 PM
comment #28
citizenmilton
says ...
Now we know exactly who to blame for this if she wins. I can tolerate a nomination.... but if she wins (as it's becoming likely) we can all shake our fists and yell "HAMMOND!"
Posted by citizenmilton
at February 2, 2010 4:10 PM
comment #29
Noah Cross
says ...
Well, not to brag, but I told everyone the Best Picture nominees would be a mix of popular blockbusters and critic favorites so, you know, I'm a game changer like Hammond. Oh, and I'm going out on a limb and saying right now that "Toy Story III" is going to be nominated for best animated film.
Posted by Noah Cross
at February 2, 2010 5:45 PM
comment #30
K. Bowen
says ...
Can I point out that she's .... pretty darn good in the film.
Posted by K. Bowen
at February 2, 2010 9:11 PM
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Ruby Genders
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at September 11, 2010 11:14 PM
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