Early Nommie Spitballs

I don’t know anything and neither does anyone else, but it’s at least somewhat likely if not more so that the following will end up as big-time award winners/nominees at the end of the year and early 2014. Please forward suggestions about any other potential contenders.

Best Picture: American Hustle, Wolf of Wall Street, Inside Llewyn Davis, All Is Lost, Saving Mr. Banks, Fruitvale Station, August: Osage County, Monuments Men, Foxcatcher, Before Midnight.

Best Director: David O. Russell, American Hustle; Martin Scorsese, Wolf of Wall Street; Joel and Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis; John Lee Hancock, Saving Mr. Banks; Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station; George Clooney, Monuments Men; Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher; Richard Linklater, Before Midnight.

Best Actor: Robert Redford, All Is Lost; Leonardo DiCaprio, Wolf of Wall Street, Great Gatsby; Tom Hanks, Cpt. Phillips/Saving Mr. Banks; Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club (plus Mud, Wolf of Wall Street perfs); Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis; Steve Carell, Foxcatcher; Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station; Ethan Hawke, Before Midnight.

Best Actress: Meryl Streep, August: Osage County; Julia Roberts, August: Osage County; Berenice Bejo, The Past; Adele Exarchopoulos, Blue Is The Warmest Color; Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks; Naomi Watts, Diana; Julie Delpy, Before Midnight.

Best Supporting Actor: Bruce Dern, Nebraska; Jeremy Renner, American Hustle.

Best Supporting Actress: Pauline Burlet, The Past; June Squibb, Nebraska; Amy Adams or Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle; Carrie Mulligan, Inside Llewyn Davis; Kristin Scott Thomas, Only God Forgives

  • Gravity?

  • Alan Burnett

    Weird that Bale wasn’t included for Best Actor. On the basis of what I know of the real story, that is one COMPELLING-AS-FUCK character and offers Bale a an opportunity to play to many of his strengths. And didn’t you read the ‘Saving Mr. Banks’ script? That is a supporting role: there is no way Disney would push him for lead, especially with the Greengrass film coming out. Ruffalo has a strong chance for ‘Foxcatcher’, whilst the Cooper character sounds like the showier supporting role in ‘AH’. On the basis of the play, Martindale seems like a lock for ‘Osage’, whilst Nicholson and Cumberbatch could sneak in.

  • BubbaJoe

    There’s a chance that it may not come out this year as Wes Anderson is currently editing it in order to make the TIFF deadline, but I wouldn’t underestimate The Grand Budapest Hotel.

  • Jack Tylers

    1. American Hustle
    2. The Monuments Men
    3. The Wolf of Wall Street
    4. August: Osage County
    5. Inside Llewyn Davis
    6. Saving Mr. Banks
    7. Foxcatcher
    8. 12 Years a Slave
    9. Gravity
    10. Captain Phillips

    1. David O. Russell- American Hustle
    2. George Clooney- The Monuments Men
    3. Martin Scorsese- The Wolf of Wall Street
    4. John Lee Hancock- Saving Mr. Banks
    5. Steve McQueen- 12 Years a Slave

    1. Leonardo DiCaprio- The Wolf of Wall Street
    2. Robert Redford- All Is Lost
    3. Steve Carell- Foxcatcher
    4. Chiwetel Ejifor- 12 Years a Slave
    5. Matthew McConegheny- Dallas Buyer’s Club

    1. Naomi Watts- Diana
    2. Meryl Streep- August: Osage County
    3. Julia Roberts- August: Osage County
    4. Emma Thompson- Saving Mr. Banks
    5. Cate Blanchett- Blue Jasmine

    1. Bruce Dern- Nebraska
    2. Tom Hanks- Saving Mr. Banks
    3. Mark Ruffalo- Foxcatcher
    4. Josh Brolin- Labor Day
    5. Michael Fassbender- 12 Years a Slave

    1. Amy Adams- American Hustle
    2. Margo Martindale- August: Osage County
    3. Cameron Diaz- The Counselor
    4. Sally Hawkins- Blue Jasmine
    5. June Squibb- Nebraska

  • Vinci_Smetana

    Hi Jeff, I’m going with nine nominees. I lost confidence in Foxcatcher months ago, and, since today, even less so. Sony has too much on their plate. I don’t think they can handle three, let alone four pictures, for BP. I’m sticking with 12 Years a Slave, despite McQueen’s type of direction perhaps falling flat with the AMPAS. And, because I’m stubborn, I’m holding onto Walter Mitty. My gut tells me the AMPAS won’t go for Before Midnight for BP, despite it being a work of art. I have Hustle and Wolf in my Top 9, but I’m very bearish on them. Even though it’s a downer, I find myself being very bullish on August right now. Gravity as an alternate. Warner Bros. may be in dire straits right now, but their track record speaks for itself.

    Director – No on Miller, totally, despite his track record. I don’t think Hancock can go the distance. And, Linklater: would be lovely, but don’t see it happening. My prediction: the majority of the nominees that have a last name starting with the letter C. There’s four of ’em to choose from. And, Wells. Not for nothing, he shaped one of the biggest hits in TV history.

    Actor – No on Carell and Hawke, though if Foxcatcher gets released, I see it catching minimal traction and the studio deciding to demote him to supporting to get him in. I’d go with Cumberbatch before Hanks. Chiwetel Ejiofor, too.

    Actress – Dench, Dench, $6M DameDench. And Kidman isn’t going to be elbowed out without a fight. She’s in it to win it. But Meryl’s winning, no matter. Blanchett has heat … right now. Her Blanche Dubois 2013 via Woody Allen needs to open first.

    Sup. Actor – Fassbender. Damon.

    Sup. Actress – J.Law = not happening this year. Neither Scott Thomas. Some think Oprah Winfrey. I don’t. But, Julia Roberts in a category fraud twist for the win. And let’s not rule out Cameron Diaz. She’s about to make heads turn, for better or worse. Will be the most talked about performance of the year. She may parlay that into a nomination.

    My two cents. 🙂 Wish I could have seen all the films you’ve seen, though.