What is Before Midnight “adapted” from? Seems like an Orignal Screenplay to me.
I LOVE HAVING A SMALL PENIS.
What is Before Midnight “adapted” from? Seems like an Original Screenplay to me.
The category is: Based on or adapted from material previously published, thus as a sequel its adapted/ based on the first two films…
This is based on absolutely nothing, but does anyone else think that Bale’s role in AH won’t get any play? He was recently rewarded in The Fighter and given how strong the field is, I see it getting pushed back.
Bale is a genuine balls-out madman, and the Academy respects that.
DOR has been to the well one time too many. The academy needs a DOR break.
They’re not bad predictions, but come on. Bejo is not getting nominated.
Why do you say that now? Why are you shutting that door? Have you seen “The Past”? It’s a major film by a major director, and she is brilliant in it.
Calling him a major director is a stretch.
A Separation, About Eli and The Past represent the best writing by any writer/director in the past decade. And he did it while in a autocratic country (for two of the films). The fact that A Separation wasn’t nominated for Best Picture, but War Horse and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close were tells you something about Hollywood and the Academy.
All due respect to its realism, A Separation wouldn’t make my top 100 screenplays since 2000.
Perhaps not you. But people like Woody Allen know it. I’m gonna go ahead and trust that he knows more about this than you.
“people like Woody Allen know it. ”
Which means what, exactly? We can trot out the opinions of great artists endorsing any perspective whatsoever.
” I’m gonna go ahead and trust that he knows more about this than you.”
And I’m gonna go ahead and trust that I know more about this than you. How’s that for condescension?
I like having a small penis. It’s awesome.
No, I admit I haven’t seen it. But it’s receiving at least slightly more lukewarm reviews than A Separation, in a stronger year. Blanchett, Bullock, and Streep are already ahead of her, with Dench, Thompson, Winslet, Adams, and Kidman hovering around. Then, of course, you also have Exarchopoulos on hand to overshadow her work, much the same way Riva did her compatriot Cotillard’s last year. It could be the best performance of the year by a mile but unless the hype train starts chugging soon and it makes a big splash somewhere, it won’t get enough exposure. It got pretty much ignored at TIFF.
The only reason one is talking about Bullock, Winslet, Adams and even Streep is because of the inherent favoritism for performances in American films. Specially Streep. It’s like if Daniel Day Lewis was to be nominated for just showing up. And even then he is far more convincing than Streep.
Bejo won in Cannes. That should put her in front.
“Bejo won in Cannes. That should put her in front.”
Since when? There’ve been a mere handful of Cannes Best Actress-winning performances nominated for an Oscar in the past 30 years, and only Penelope Cruz (Volver) in the past decade.
1) Since as of now she’s the only one with one BIG prestigious award. Roberts is weak, Bullock is in a sci-fi that has even worse track record than being the winner of an acting award from Cannes, and Streep IS supporting as of now (and should remain so as long as Harvey doesn’t diss Roberts by putting her in supporting).
2) If you say that these are the best AMERICAN performances by AMERICAN actresses in an AMERICAN film then that’s a better way of putting it than just calling it “Best Actress”. It seems like foreign actresses specially, who aren’t in English-speaking films, must overcome great odds to even be nominated. Then it is merely about language than performance. If it was a level playing field then Bejo SHOULD be ahead.
I’m not even sure why American Hustle is tracking. It looks like a fluff piece. But it seems like Silver Linings and The Fighter suddenly have made Russel a give-me director as much as Spielberg.
Yeah, your data is mostly wrong. Streep is going lead. Roberts has gotten good notices. You’re right about an acting branch aversion to sci-fi, but Gravity is getting the kind of response that could surmount it.
As for #2, isn’t this Wells post about predicting? Your complaint addresses the blinkeredness of the Academy’s choice-making, which is a completely separate issue.
I am the biggest awards bitch in the world and even I find this discussion insufferable. Also I have a small penis.
Out of curiosity, are these predictions, hopes or a bit of both?
Jeff: Is Gravity really sitting this out?? I’m taking your word that 12 Years a Slave is excellent, as I remember you were not too enthusiastic about the subject going in— it means a lot to see such radically changed opinion. I’m not sure the two foreign films get nominations in Best Actress. I see Blanchett, Bullock, Dench, Adams, and Streep (though did you see Corliss’ review today? Props to someone for calling out Streep, finally—should’ve come earlier for Iron Lady). Maybe Thompson instead if the film hits, or maybe one foreign language performance bumps someone out (not two).
I’m bracing for my inevitable disappointment that Brie Larson doesn’t make the cut for “Short Term 12,” but it’s just too small a movie to figure large in the Oscars, I guess. I can always pin some hopes on the Spirit Awards. The movie really deserves a lot of attention.
Jeff, just because you weren’t as hot on Gravity as pretty much everyone else was, doesn’t mean that should affect your predictions. The film is in for a BP nod. I’m predicting it for Director and Actress as well.
And I understand you want to root for indie, “less-likely” candidates, but please don’t put them at #1. If Adele makes it in (which will be hard in that stacked category) she will have barely scraped through. And there’s no way 2 foreign language performances are making it into Lead Actress in a year as strong as this. Cotillard couldn’t even do it in 2012 which was a very weak year.
Please. It’s a joke to call the Best Actress field “strong”. Hasn’t been for years. Isn’t this year. It isn’t so much about talent as it is about 1) Americanism, and 2) Less than stellar material for actresses compared to the actors in general in Hollywood and elsewhere. The fact that Sandra Bullock has a chance of nomination and the overacting of Streep doesn’t stop people from voting for her only diminishes the Best Actress field. Even Daniel Day Lewis doesn’t get away with the performances Streep is often nominated for ( See The Crucible).
We havent seen half of the performances in contention. When people in January say it’s a strong year for Best Actress we mean there are a lot of meaty baity roles by notorious actresses in play this year. That was not the case in 2012, but it is the case in 2013
It is amazing to think that everyone on this board has a bigger penis than I do. Even the women.
Gravity shut out in all major categories? Not happening.
Looks like somebody hasn’t been keeping up with their Grantland:
“It’s no longer news that fall film festivals in Toronto, Venice, and Telluride function in part as awards-season launching pads; the practice is largely sanctioned and financed by the distributors who provide hot-ticket movies, and tacitly encouraged by the festivals themselves. However, even aside from the disservice to the movie, an early line-in-the-sand awards declaration can sometimes lead to months of defensive posturing (“Well, the Scorsese is good, but I hold to my earlier contention that … “). It also runs the risk of turning handicappers into advocates not just for their own favorite movies but for their own early calls.”
It’s September. It’s NOT EVEN FALL YET.
1. American hustle
2. 12 years a slave
3. Wolf of Wall Street
4. Saving mr. banks
6. Captain Phillips
7. August: Osage County
8. The Monuments Men
9. Inside Llewyn Davis
10. The Butler
5. John Lee Hancock
4. Emma Thompson
4. Bruhl- Rush
2. julia roberts
3. margo martindale
4. lupita lyongo
5. sally hawkins
1. american hustle
2. saving mr. banks
3. inside llewyn davis
4. fruitvale station
5. blue jasmine
1. 12 years a slave
2. wolf of wall street
3. august: osage county
4. before midnight
So Wells is predicting a McConaughey snub for Best Actor. Ballsy. Or an early sign of Alzheimer’s.
I remember some people being so sure about McConaughey getting in for Magic Mike. How about we wait and see how Carell, Bale, DiCaprio, Phoenix, etc. do before pretending McConaughey is already a lock? He’s looking good, perhaps even #2 after Ejiofor (some would say Redford), but he and his film could drop like a hot potato if those higher profile November/December releases deliver.
Yeah, how about we wait and see how Anchorman 2 turns out before pretending 12 Years a Slave has it in the bag?
Because films by four Oscar nominated directors, with three Oscar nominated actors, released right smack in the heat of awards season, are comparable to Anchorman 2.
I LOVE HAVING A SMALL PENIS, FUCK YOU, YOU BIGGER PENISED FUCK.
How about I have a small penis? How about that?
I think this is waaaaay too early, but I’ll play to this extent:
What are two things Hollywood just LOVES?
Movies about themselves (e.g., Argo, Crash, etc.)
You can take that to the banks.
God, these are weird predictions. Which makes sense given you’re not really in the predictions game as much as you are an advocate for your chosen middlebrow Oscar contenders.
But Bejo? Really? Not Bullock or Dench? Come on. Exarchopolous has a shot by virtue of BitWC and her performance in particular getting rave reviews, but Bejo is not in contention at all, seriously. And I’m not even sure Exarchopolous gets in. If Amy Adams is lead for American Hustle, it could be Streep/Blanchett/Dench/Adams/Bullock.
I LIKE HAVING A SMALL PENIS.
sorry to hijack but this really is worth a look:
Would it hurt to have enlarging capabilities with your pictures? I feel that I need glasses to see the writing, and last I checked, my vision was 20/20.
there are people who get nominated whenever they are in serious contention. that goes for tom hanks and judi dench among few others. so count them in for captain phillips and philomena respectively. they are not ever getting snubbed.
Brie Larson will make the cut for best actress her performance was the best by a female lead all year.
But Marion Cotillard in The Immigrant is so much better of all of the names of best actress, she (Marion) must be nominated for her wonderful performance.
I have only posted about myself looking like a lesbian and having a small penis and even I find this post to be insufferable.
Everybody’s predicts this year are all over the place. I am now beginning to wonder if it really is that crazy out there.
I enjoy masturbating in public.
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